Junk Wax vs. Junk Foil: Are We Living Through the Next Hobby Crash?
✍ The Collector’s Crossroads
by Brews & Breaks
We laugh at the Junk Wax Era like it’s ancient history… but take a hard look around. The hobby’s drowning in shiny parallels, and we might be headed for Junk Wax 2.0, just with more glitter.
Two Eras, Same Problem
Back in the late 80s and early 90s, we printed baseball cards like we were trying to wallpaper the moon. Entire garages were filled with wax boxes that, 30 years later, are worth less than the shelving they sit on.
Fast forward to today, and we’ve learned our lesson, right? Right…?
Now we call it “limited”, slap a serial number on it, and crank out 47 different parallels of the same rookie. The packaging is fancier, but the overproduction smell is the same, just with a chrome finish.
The Junk Wax Starter Pack (1987–1994)
Overprinted to oblivion.
Everyone’s “investing” in 50-count stacks of Gregg Jefferies rookies.
Card shops in every strip mall.
PSA was grading stuff you could pull from a gas station pack
The Junk Foil Starter Pack (Today)
“Limited” parallels are so common you need a spreadsheet just to track your rainbow.
Sticker autos that look like they were signed on the way to the parking lot.
Case breaks eating up supply before hobbyists even see a retail shelf.
Products sitting on Target shelves until the next year’s release pushes them out.
The Big Lie
Manufacturers want you to think this time is different because they can tell you exactly how many copies of a card exist. “See? It’s numbered to 299!” But when every player has a dozen colors at /299, /199, /99, and a couple dozen unnumbered parallels? Scarcity becomes marketing, not math.
Why It Matters
When overproduction meets overhype, markets crumble fast. It happened in the 90s — it can happen again. The only reason we don’t see it yet is because demand is artificially propped up by breakers, influencers, and FOMO-driven buyers.
How to Avoid Getting Stuck With Modern Paperweights
Focus on true scarcity, iconic rookies, low-pop vintage, or genuinely rare inserts.
Don’t chase every rainbow. Chasing rainbows is fun, but it’s also how you end up with 38 copies of a card that no one wants in three years.
Buy what you actually like. If the market tanks, at least you still have cards you enjoy.
Final Sip:
We can laugh at the Junk Wax Era all we want, but if you’re staring at a closet full of base Prizm rookies from 2021, you might be starring in the sequel.
Until next time, keep sippin and rippin. ☕🍻💥
— Will @ Brews & Breaks 🍻
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