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piloted 1945 Tigers to WS championship1946 International News Cardtied for 10th in mWAR: 2.9 wins added per 162 games
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Detroit Tigers
Sep 5
bbcardstats.com
Geez—I really didn’t think I’d end up thinking and writing so much about starter variance! But here is instalment no. 4. You know the setup. The records of Mr. Reliable and Mr. Erratic illustrate how, in principle, an inconsistent pitcher might be more va...
https://bbcardstats.com/a-teeny-bit-more-on-the-tiny-effect-of-starter-variance/
In
Aug 14
As all 4,326,379 regular readers of this blog/journal know, I’m perplexed—haunted—by an anomaly in Gould’s conjecture. Gould’s conjecture is essentially that as a sport matures, differences in the performances of the top competitors will become more compr...
https://bbcardstats.com/are-todays-hitters-getting-better-are-todays-pitchers-getting-worse-dr-gould-meets-rev-bayes/
Aug 4
Edited
I’ve made it through draft 426 (or at least 6) of “Against Pythagorean Benchmarking”. . . . I think I feel good about it now; so am soliciting comments from those who will tell me I shouldn’t—pile on!—before I make the revisions necessary to submit it to ...
https://bbcardstats.com/channel-closed-case-closed-obituary-for-a-manager-value-estimator/
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Jul 19
So I’ve bee knocking myself out for about 3 months revising & reworking a paper on Pythagorean Expectation Benchmarking—or PEB. PEB is the use of teams’ Pythagorean Expectation (PE) winning percentage as a benchmark or baseline for assessing the impact o...
https://bbcardstats.com/everything-you-wanted-to-know-about-pythagorean-expectation-benchmarking-but-were-afraid-to-ask/