Statistics
10
Posts
0
Followers
13302
x5ms2
2 h
Edited
bbcardstats.com
This is installment 2 on the question: Is inconsistency a starting-pitcher virtue? I’m sure everyone read installment 1. But remember, the idea is that holding mean runs allowed constant, a pitcher who pitches brilliantly a good deal of the time but occas...
https://bbcardstats.com/another-look-at-starter-inconsistency/
Sports Cards
Baseball Cards
1 w
Here’s a bit more on how the empirical fielding-independent pitcher metric—eFIP— compares with Baseball Reference’s and Fangraphs’s pitching-runs saved measures. I’ve previously shown that eFIP does a better job in out-of-sample predictions, which is an i...
https://bbcardstats.com/regression-regression-on-the-wall-which-pitching-runs-saved-measure-explains-the-most-variance-of-all/
May 15
Okay: for a long time I was too scared to address this issue again. But part of the reason for my ongoing work with eFIP was to arm myself for another encounter with this demon. . . . I’m talking about the Gould conjecture. This is the famous sports-analy...
https://bbcardstats.com/spooky-variance-at-a-distance-of-60-6-efip-part-iii/
Basketball Cards
May 13
So here is a fun follow-up to the last post. That one introduced “eFIP,” a pitcher estimator that uses empirically derived weights for fielding-independent outcomes—strikeouts, walks, home runs allowed, and hit batters. I outlined its derivation and expla...
https://bbcardstats.com/did-dazzy-vance-have-the-greatest-starting-pitcher-season-ever-efip-part-ii/
Create an account to discover more interesting stories about collectibles, and share your own with other collectors.
Apr 30
I’m returning to pitcher estimators, and in reviewing FanGraphs’ WAR calculation discovered a truly cringeworthy glitch. FanGraphs uses a variant of FIP—fielding independent pitching—to determine the pitching “runs saved above average” total it feeds into...
https://bbcardstats.com/fangraphs-fip-boner/whose was bigger--Merkle's or FanGraphs'?